Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.157528 0.174128 0.191075 0.209630 0.229336 0.249600 0.271973
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.136906 0.160209 0.184853 0.212721 0.243224 0.275470 0.312005
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.119981 0.147729 0.177993 0.213166 0.252636 0.295295 0.344617
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.107262 0.138340 0.173189 0.214669 0.262212 0.314552 0.376073
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.095482 0.128792 0.167140 0.213806 0.268331 0.329348 0.402111
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.088318 0.123938 0.165897 0.217928 0.279704 0.349770 0.434304
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.080495 0.117569 0.162253 0.218689 0.286735 0.364896 0.460231
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.073373 0.111475 0.158430 0.218783 0.292606 0.378402 0.484094
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.066441 0.105075 0.153760 0.217424 0.296389 0.389196 0.504603
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.061533 0.100954 0.151644 0.218952 0.303458 0.403743 0.529452
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.058933 0.099732 0.153088 0.224830 0.315796 0.424587 0.561833
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.054531 0.095697 0.150593 0.225467 0.321467 0.437274 0.584408
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.051698 0.093818 0.150997 0.229992 0.332278 0.456608 0.615547
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.048035 0.090481 0.149239 0.231551 0.339257 0.471231 0.641037
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044028 0.086340 0.146148 0.231156 0.343606 0.482533 0.662462
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040861 0.083241 0.144321 0.232304 0.349842 0.496130 0.686709
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.037272 0.079208 0.140952 0.231176 0.352978 0.505758 0.706020
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035524 0.077991 0.141540 0.235404 0.363107 0.524208 0.736323
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.032947 0.075217 0.139700 0.236149 0.368552 0.536681 0.759186
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.030394 0.072285 0.137470 0.236220 0.373008 0.547846 0.780403
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.027668 0.068830 0.134275 0.234776 0.375318 0.556187 0.798036
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.025868 0.066873 0.133265 0.236376 0.381697 0.569760 0.822303
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.025216 0.066967 0.135419 0.242553 0.394344 0.591519 0.857056